Continuing my previous post, here's reasons 6 – 10 with my responses.
6. There are also hedge accounting considerations. Paragraph 79 of IAS 39 does not allow interest rate risk hedge accounting for HTM securities. Paragraph 21(d) of FAS 133 similarly precludes hedge accounting treatment for interest rate risk and FX risk, although credit default hedges are permitted. Available-for-sale securities can get hedge accounting relief. Mark-to-market proponents could argue that elimination of HTM designations and valuation of all financial securities at fair value eliminates some of the complexity of having hedge accounting available for AFS securities and unavailable for HTM securities. However, in my viewpoint having hedge accounting for securities that the company pledges will truly be held to maturity causes more problems by having both hedge accounting and fair value adjustments on these securities set in stone for the duration of their life.
Inflation is a real risk, and it is independent of management's free choice in their accounting for that investment. Ironically, the risk of greater-than-expected inflation is greatest in the presence of such a pledge to hold to maturity, yet through existing hedge accounting rules management is discouraged from entering into a hedge to reduce the risk of excess inflation on the purchasing power of its future cash inflows. This is because the gains and losses on the hedging instrument would actually increase the volatility of accounting earnings, while the effect of the hedge would be to reduce the volatility of economic earnings!
If all investments in debt instruments were marked-to-market, then management would choose the economic hedge that best fits the circumstances of the enterprise; they could choose to hedge default risk, inflation risk, prepayment risk, or whatever other risk that concerns them without worrying about silly rules regarding arcane accounting definitions for "macro hedging," "hedge effectiveness," documentation requirements and more. Management would also not feel a push one way or the other toward a particular brand of "hedging instrument."
7. The argument for valuing the right side of a balance sheet on the basis of CLAIMS is grounded in agency theory. Trying to parcel out, in real time, the shift in relative economic fortunes is a pickle of a problem.
Actually, agency costs can occur because one party, usually the agent, is able to observe economic earnings (and take for itself an undeserved share of those earnings) because the principal cannot measure economic earnings as precisely and completely as the agent. Thus, accounting rules that deliberately distort economic earnings create agency costs, and not vice versa.
Exhibit A for the case that historical cost is the real purveyor of agency costs is the thankfully defunct SFAS 76 and related literature on accounting for an "in-substance defeasance" of debt. Basically, managers wanted to report gains upon early retirement of their bonds, which of course were measured at historic proceeds instead of being marked to market. (Obviously, the yield to maturity of those bonds had increased subsequent to issuance for whatever reason.) Those managers were prevented, either practically or contractually, in many circumstances, from retiring those bonds.
So, special interests did whatever they needed to do to get the FASB to permit in-substance defeasance accounting even if the bonds were not actually retired. The process was pretty straightforward: if enough dough were transferred into essentially riskless, irrevocable trusts whose funds could only be used to make payments to the bondholders, management could get their gain accounting upon funding the trust.
The economics, however, effectively transferred wealth from shareholders to bondholders for no other apparent reason, except to juice reported earnings. Essentially, the bondholders received a windfall gain, because their risky bonds on which they were earning a risk premium, all of a sudden were backed by a fully funded, risk-free trust account. In other words, they were still earning a risk premium without being exposed to any risk! Of course, after the FASB rescinded SFAS 76 et. al., the in-substance defeasance game became a lot less interesting.
My point is that agency costs are minimized when accounting reports economic income. Management can use the opportunity to report fictitious earnings to screw anyone they can: bondholders, employees, shareholders, whomever. Other examples include retiree healthcare costs (mentioned earlier) and compensation via stock options. In all of the cases I can think of when bad accounting became less bad, abuses lessened significantly.
8. We cannot report economic earnings to a point where fair value adjustments have errors of magnitude that destroy credibility in the reporting of earnings or assets or liabilities or equity. This is one of the reasons we do not report economic earnings from long-term purchase contracts such as the Dow Jones contract to buy newsprint (paper) from St Regis paper for 50 years. Sure we can build a model to estimate the 2009 $1.3 billion change in net present value over 43 more years of purchasing paper, but no sensible investor would have any faith whatsoever in that $1.3 billion number because of all the contingencies affecting both Dow Jones and St Regis over the next 43 years, including the possibility that newspapers will cease publishing hard copy in the next decade.
It is quite possible that this "purchase contract" could become a derivative within the scope of FAS 133, and thus measured at fair value, if net cash settlement were required or permitted on each delivery date, instead of physical delivery of paper. In other words, it is currently required (and noncontroversial) to report "fiction" for complex derivatives, but not for other complex (and even less complex) debt instruments, or lease contracts, or purchase contracts, etc.
I am not proposing that we abandon FAS 133's requirements to measure complex derivatives at a current value, but rather to say that if we can tolerate "fiction" for derivatives, I'd like to know why we shouldn't tolerate it for other contracts.
Furthermore, I can only conjecture that the two parties to this transaction would not have entered into it, or at least modified it significantly if it actually did fall within the scope of FAS 133 or some other requirement to measure it at current values. Maybe, instead of Regis providing Dow Jones insurance that the price of paper won't go to high, a more appropriate arrangement would be made with a properly funded financial institution.
The only way to fix this sort of agency problem is to require current valuation of all legal obligations to make future deliveries of goods or services. I know it sounds drastic, but I believe it's necessary, and at least in the arena of lease contracts, the FASB is finally acknowledging that ignoring such contracts by calling them "operating leases" has benefitted only management and its "financial consultants."
9. Continuing the previous example, courts of law most likely would not pay any attention to the net present value of paper from trees that have not yet been planted. One of the reasons we do not book long term purchase contracts is that, when broken, the damage settlements are often a miniscule fraction of net present value estimates of full-term contracts.
Again, my response to the valuation problem of the debtor/obligor is to mirror the replacement cost measurement exercise of its counterparty.
10. Mark-to-market accounting makes sense only to a point where the reported numbers have some relevance in estimating future returns and risks. However, when carried to extremes of sheer fantasy and valuation models with enormous missing variables, then we are no longer providing a service to investors. The problem with measuring assets and liabilities at replacement cost (or fair value) is that it is not the goal. If we report earnings with a total loss of credibility, the profession of accounting will become a laughing stock alongside the profession of astrology. Even economists (gasp) will laugh at us. Clients will no longer want to pay our fees --- that's the ultimate loss.
Actually, on an aggregate basis, I am not sure that clients are actually paying audit fees even today. Each year, the increase in the Big Four's liability exposure (including interest) may be outstripping the fees that they are supposedly earning with audits that do little more than provide legal cover for corporate executives to lay claim to as much of the shareholders' money as they can get away with. Shareholder suits are threatening to bankrupt every single one of the Big Four, and ironically, a more stable (albeit less lucrative) future for audit firms can be found in mark-to-market accounting. This may be a stretch, but I read a wonderful quote of Upton Sinclair (courtesy of Paul Krugman) just today: "It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary [or, Krugman adds, his campaign contributions] depends upon his not understanding it."
Even in the absence of a change in measurement attribute, the SEC needs to radically think about the kind of assurance services auditors should be providing on financial statements. As just one example, what is the quantum of investor protection that is added when an auditor documents in its workpapers that the management of Bank XYZ has made an estimate of its loan loss reserves that "appears reasonable"? In place of a rubber stamp from auditors who, despite what any law might provide, can be fired by management virtually at will, I would prefer to be furnished with an independent appraisal of the replacement cost of the loan portfolio, prepared without the involvement of management. Auditors should go back to what they most often do well: count cash: test calculations; confirm receivables, payables, debt amounts and inventory counts; and little else.
------
That's all, folks. Here's hoping that whatever the outcome of the debate on loan valuation, it will consist of more than pure politics. As the anecdote from Clarence Sampson indicates, capital markets regulators have been pushing for improvements to bank accounting for ages, with improvements being grudgingly conceded in decades-spaced drips and drabs. Now, finally, the FASB is aiming higher. Let's see whether they can score a hit somewhere in the vicinity of the bulls eye.



Making Financial Statement Presentation Simple: Mandate Account Reconciliations
Following my most recent post on financial statement presentation, Eddie Thomas, a frequent commenter of this blog, wrote: "Wouldn't investors be better off pushing for a more robust XBRL so that they can make their own decisions about what is relevant information and what is not? It seems like an effective end run around the politics of the FASB and the IASB."
I agree with Eddie to a point, but I am afraid he may be discounting the "garbage in, garbage out" rule of data processing. The information value of "robust XBRL" heavily depends on the granularity, uniformity and quality of inputs. As to whether GAAP or IFRS has attained a quality level even approaching 'satisfactory' is, as Eddie implies, highly debatable. With respect to granularity and uniformity, it's not even a close call -- hence the financial statement presentation project in the first place.
But, what I am about to suggest can make Eddie's wish to "end run" politically motivated accounting standards come true: balance sheet account reconciliations. In that last post, I suggested that one of three important things that the Boards could do would be to provide reconciliations of the beginning and ending balances of all balance sheet accounts. The other two were to mandate a direct-method statement of cash flows and to maintain a strict separation between financial and operating items. Upon further reflection, the reconciliations would be the single most important thing the Boards could do. It would also be the simplest and most logical way to do raise the level of financial reporting on all dimensions. Here are just three examples.
Example #1: PP&E
Perhaps some of this information can be teased out by the FASB/IASB proposal, but certainly not all of it. But, the FASB/IASB proposal would subject much too much to management's whim; and without detailed mandates it would be difficult to develop consistent XBRL tags.
The last two items in the reconciliation example clearly go beyond the FASB/IASB proposal: the effect of capitalized interest, and changes in the balance due to "translation" of accounts on the books of foreign subsidiaries at current exchange rates. The transparency of capitalized interest is essential to investors whose first analytical objective is the isolation of the effect of financial decisions on "operating" profits. The effect of foreign currency translation allows the investor to unwind the purely random effect on comprehensive income from multiplying a historic cost by a current foreign currency exchange rate.
Example #2: Inventories
The IASB/FASB proposal calls for disclosure of expenses by "nature" if management deems it to be significant information. Instead, I would require, where applicable, a statement of cost of products manufactured (i.e., a reconciliation of production costs and changes in inventory balances to cost of sales). The components of cost of sales could be highly informative, and, like reconciliations of balance sheet accounts, they are already being prepared for internal control purposes. Besides, undergraduate accounting students learn how to prepare a statement of costs of goods manufactured in their second semester!
Example #3: Trade Receivables
Reconciliations are a No-Brainer: That's why Investors Can't Have Them
Imagine having those reconciliations along with programs that can read XBRL data! Service providers would be competing with each other to create the very best 'out of the box' analytics, and just as Eddie predicts, users won't even bother glancing at the financial statements as presented by management and the sleep-inducing narrative disclosures written to obfuscate rather than enlighten. The oil and gas industry could stuff their cherished interest capitalization where the sun don't shine, and multinationals could do the same with their foreign exchange translation gyrations.
But, the reasons why we don't currently have reconciliations are the reasons we won't get them. Managers must continue to make value-destroying choices for the sake of the accounting results that, with reconciliations, could be easily unraveled and even prevent fraud. Even though S-OX essentially requires that these reconciliations must exist somwhere in the bowels of each issuers' accounting system, auditors could not abide the prospect of providing each and every investor with the opportunity to perform its own 'analytical review' from which its own could be second-guessed.
So, there you have it: the result of a couple of days of talking to myself, as opposed to millions of dollars spent by the FASB and IASB to solemnly deliberate for seven years such weighty issues such as whether the direct method for the statement of cash flows should be required, and a bunch of ad hoc ideas like separate identification of recurring and non-recurring revaluations.
If there is hope for improved financial statment presentation, it may be with new leadership of the SEC. Historically, disaggregation has been under the purview of the FASB or the SEC. For example, SEC Regulation S-X is the main repository of presentation guidance for public companies. About a dozen years ago, the SEC, as a favor to issuers, eliminated supplemental schedules set forth in Reg. S-X that required details on the movements in long-lived assets. But about eight years ago, it also proposed to augment disclosures of the movements in so-called "valuation and qualifying accounts." The proposal was never acted upon, with the advent of S-OX serving as the official excuse. But, intense lobbying against the proposal by the usual suspects is the only plausible scenario.
I am not necessarily saying that the SEC should be taking over this project, but presentation has long been the purview of the SEC, and the FASB is falling way short. The purpose of S-OX in providing an independent funding source for the FASB is to free the FASB from undue influence, so as to carry out its mission in an unbiased and timely fashion. How could something as straightforward as financial statement presentation take seven years (and counting), if it were not for the meddling of special interests? Intentionally, or not, the FASB has neutered itself, and harmed the interests of U.S. investors by agreeing to join forces on the project with the IASB – which is not independently funded, and more than ever appears to be under the thumb of the European Union.
Posted on January 03, 2009 at 12:43 AM in Accounting Concepts, Commentary, Financial Analysis, Foreign Operations, Interest Costs, International | Permalink | Comments (2) | TrackBack (0)